AI doubts trigger a technology stock sell-off

Charlotte Fraser

Nasdaq suffers a sharp reversal

A broad retreat in major technology stocks shook financial markets on Tuesday, raising fresh questions about whether the artificial intelligence rally can continue supporting elevated company valuations.

The technology-heavy Nasdaq ended the session down about 3%, while semiconductor manufacturers also recorded significant losses. The reversal followed an uninterrupted three-month advance that had repeatedly lifted global indices to record levels.

Investors reassess the cost of the AI boom

Optimism surrounding artificial intelligence has helped technology shares more than double from their cyclical lows in 2022. However, the strength of the 90-day rally left many companies trading at prices that assumed rapid adoption and substantial future profits.

Tuesday’s selling indicated that investors are beginning to demand clearer evidence that corporate spending on AI can generate returns large enough to justify those valuations. Nvidia, Intel and other chipmakers were among the hardest hit, dragging down a key index of global semiconductor companies.

SpaceX falls below its flotation price

The change in sentiment also affected SpaceX, Elon Musk’s Texas-based aerospace company, which began trading publicly on 12 June. Its shares fell below the closely watched flotation price of $150, equivalent to approximately £114, before recovering to close near $156.

The turbulent session extended the volatility experienced by SpaceX since its market debut. Some traders viewed the recovery as evidence of continued demand for investments linked to commercial space exploration. Others said the dramatic fluctuations reflected the speculative conditions surrounding newly listed growth companies.

Analysts disagree over the market outlook

Market strategists remain divided over whether the decline represents routine profit-taking after an exceptional rally or the beginning of a deeper correction across the technology sector.

Vivek Arya of Bank of America maintained a constructive outlook. He argued that persistent inflation and stronger demand could eventually push industry forecasts higher. In his assessment, the AI sector is moving beyond defending its initial return on investment and entering a stage focused on overcoming limitations involving physical infrastructure and electricity supplies.

More cautious observers point to weaker corporate information technology budgets and wider economic pressures. They believe these constraints could bring an end to the period of rapid and relatively easy gains for technology shares.

London avoids the worst of the decline

Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, noted that the limited presence of technology companies in the London market helped the FTSE 100 remain positive while Wall Street declined.

The difference highlighted how the concentration of highly valued technology businesses can increase an index’s exposure to sudden changes in investor confidence.

Earnings will test the investment case

Attention is now turning to forthcoming corporate results. Technology groups will face pressure to demonstrate that the billions committed to AI infrastructure are producing measurable earnings rather than relying primarily on expectations and promotional claims.

Those financial reports could determine whether Tuesday’s fall proves to be a brief interruption or develops into a broader reassessment of technology and AI-related investments.

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