Alphabet Surges As Meta Faces AI Doubts

Charlotte Fraser

Two AI Giants Move In Opposite Directions

Alphabet shares surged on Thursday after the Google parent reported stronger than expected results, powered by rapid growth in its cloud business. The rally lifted Google to its best month on Wall Street since 2004, showing that investors remain willing to reward artificial intelligence spending when they see a clear path to revenue.

Meta moved in the opposite direction. Its shares fell almost 9%, their steepest drop since October, as investors reacted to higher capital expenditure plans and concerns about whether the company can generate sufficient returns from its artificial intelligence buildout.

Alphabet’s Cloud Business Drives The Rally

Alphabet beat analyst expectations for first quarter revenue, supported by a 63% year over year increase in Google Cloud revenue. Chief executive Sundar Pichai said the cloud unit benefited from strong demand for enterprise AI solutions.

The company also raised its capital expenditure forecast for the year to a range of 180 billion to 190 billion dollars, up from its previous estimate of 175 billion to 185 billion dollars. Despite the higher spending plan, investors focused on the strength of cloud growth and the company’s ability to convert AI demand into revenue.

Google Posts Its Best Month Since 2004

Alphabet shares jumped 10% on Thursday and gained 34% in April, their strongest monthly performance since October 2004, shortly after Google’s initial public offering. Alphabet was later created as Google’s parent company in 2015.

The rally reflects renewed confidence in Google’s positioning across cloud computing, custom AI chips and enterprise tools. On a call with investors, Pichai said Alphabet was seeing tremendous demand for its AI products and chips, adding that AI is lighting up every part of the business.

Meta’s Spending Plan Worries Investors

Meta also beat Wall Street expectations for first quarter earnings and revenue, but the market focused on softer user trends and higher investment plans. The company said its daily active people figure was affected quarter over quarter by internet disruptions in Iran.

Meta raised its full year capital expenditure outlook to between 125 billion and 145 billion dollars, compared with a previous range of 115 billion to 135 billion dollars. The company said the increase reflected higher component pricing and additional data center costs needed to support future capacity.

The AI Return Question Becomes Central

The sharp divergence between Alphabet and Meta shows that Wall Street is not automatically rewarding every AI spending plan. Investors are trying to balance the size of the AI opportunity against the cash required to pursue it, especially as infrastructure, chips and data center costs continue to rise.

Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon all operate large cloud infrastructure businesses, giving them a more direct way to turn AI investment into revenue. Meta does not have a comparable cloud platform, which makes it harder for investors to assess how quickly its AI spending can generate returns beyond its core advertising business.

Debt, Downgrades And Market Scrutiny

Meta is reportedly exploring a 20 billion to 25 billion dollar bond deal as the cost of funding its AI expansion rises. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are said to be involved in the transaction, which would be Meta’s second bond deal in seven months.

JPMorgan downgraded Meta to neutral from overweight, citing a challenging path to returns on the company’s heavy capital expenditure forecast. The bank said investors need greater clarity on how Meta will monetize AI spending beyond advertising. For the wider market, the message is clear: AI investment remains a powerful growth theme, but companies must now prove that spending can translate into durable revenue, margins and shareholder value.

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